PolyBot

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Traders

Luche38bnb

0x22528d58e0338de70216756d49c11a39d0f517c3

Realised P&L
$-365.43
Volume
$501.7k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$13.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1360.135$11.9k−$125.54
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0240.024$1.1k−$16.85
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0050.001$99.77−$921.16
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0040.001$55.11−$366.62
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.0940.130$44.32+$12.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 15:48Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.13$507.00
09-29 06:53Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.16$1.7k
09-28 20:45Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.0195532286$80.02
09-28 20:40Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0938713368$32.00
09-28 20:38Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1191006827$100.00
09-28 20:37Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1146964901$200.00
09-28 20:35Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0662567391$100.00
09-28 12:50Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1400105086$2.0k
09-28 12:41Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.13$853.13
09-27 20:58Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.13$966.60
09-21 21:45Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0171582846$831.29
09-15 23:42Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1372430652$1.4k
09-15 23:41Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0269597053$500.00
09-15 22:56Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1291027521$2.9k
09-15 22:42Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0049918884$286.15