Luche38bnb
0x22528d58e0338de70216756d49c11a39d0f517c3
- Realised P&L
- $-516.92
- Volume
- $397.5k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $6.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.125 | $5.1k | −$181.41 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.018 | $832.96 | −$241.98 |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.003 | $377.75 | +$188.00 |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.002 | $165.32 | −$256.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-27.98at 0.002Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:42 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1372430652 | $1.4k |
| 09-15 23:41 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0269597053 | $500.00 |
| 09-15 22:56 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1291027521 | $2.9k |
| 09-15 22:42 | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0049918884 | $286.15 |
| 09-15 22:41 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0232486343 | $500.00 |
| 09-15 22:36 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0023577924 | $40.00 |
| 09-15 22:35 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0011885584 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 22:33 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1203357738 | $1000.00 |
| 09-15 14:25 | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0039894524 | $85.75 |
| 09-15 14:19 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $25.00 |
| 09-14 19:50 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $50.00 |
| 09-14 19:49 | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0015927156 | $50.00 |
| 09-14 19:46 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 09-14 19:45 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0150844858 | $75.00 |