Luche38bnb
0x22528d58e0338de70216756d49c11a39d0f517c3
- Realised P&L
- $-365.43
- Volume
- $501.7k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $13.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.135 | $11.9k | −$125.54 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.024 | $1.1k | −$16.85 |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $99.77 | −$921.16 |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $55.11 | −$366.62 |
| Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.094 | 0.130 | $44.32 | +$12.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-27.98at 0.002Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$-337.45at 0.101Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 15:48 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.13 | $507.00 |
| 09-29 06:53 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.7k |
| 09-28 20:45 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0195532286 | $80.02 |
| 09-28 20:40 | Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0938713368 | $32.00 |
| 09-28 20:38 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1191006827 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 20:37 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1146964901 | $200.00 |
| 09-28 20:35 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0662567391 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 12:50 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1400105086 | $2.0k |
| 09-28 12:41 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.13 | $853.13 |
| 09-27 20:58 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.13 | $966.60 |
| 09-21 21:45 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0171582846 | $831.29 |
| 09-15 23:42 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1372430652 | $1.4k |
| 09-15 23:41 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0269597053 | $500.00 |
| 09-15 22:56 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1291027521 | $2.9k |
| 09-15 22:42 | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0049918884 | $286.15 |