PolyBot

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Traders

lucky57

0x224bfc57d15ffc81b6639d8f11303628bcc4b294

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$3.85M
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9790.980$5.4k+$0.21
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.001$5.00−$65.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$0.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET · Up0.8920.000$0.00−$65.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$0.51
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00−$206.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9100.000$0.00−$91.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$1.00
Who will win the gold medal in Women's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$11.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 01:43Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.5$225.42
09-27 01:32Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.98$5.3k
08-14 03:08Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.952$100.00
08-14 03:07Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.5899999999$266.00
08-08 06:32Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.26$13.00
08-08 06:20Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.28$14.00
08-08 02:50Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSELL0.485$19.40
08-08 01:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSELL0.48$24.00
08-08 00:49Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSELL0.46$19.59
08-07 11:01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSELL0.007$0.03
08-07 11:01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSELL0.007$0.35
08-07 10:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSELL0.03$0.91
08-07 10:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.93$5.21
08-01 01:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?SELL0.2$10.00
08-01 01:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.8181475$163.63