wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
0x224a89dbe0db0d6124b335edabd15b3f877da3d5
- Realised P&L
- $-4.35M
- Volume
- $212.22M
- Markets traded
- 6,165
- Open portfolio
- $340.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,165
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-01? · No | 0.494 | 1.000 | $153.8k | +$77.9k |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.610 | 0.615 | $52.0k | +$422.72 |
| Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.495 | $16.0k | +$161.95 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres | 0.763 | 0.910 | $13.6k | +$2.2k |
| UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card) · Islam Dulatov | 0.570 | 0.500 | $11.5k | −$1.6k |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners | 0.569 | 0.596 | $9.1k | +$414.15 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.390 | $8.8k | −$2.0k |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.500 | 0.485 | $8.8k | −$270.88 |
| Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5) · Minnesota Twins | 0.429 | 0.995 | $5.7k | +$3.3k |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves · San Francisco Giants | 0.430 | 0.455 | $5.1k | +$280.38 |
| Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) · Detroit Tigers | 0.410 | 0.996 | $4.8k | +$2.8k |
| Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) · Minnesota Twins | 0.470 | 0.925 | $4.4k | +$2.2k |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners · Minnesota Twins | 0.300 | 0.404 | $3.6k | +$917.32 |
| Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) · San Francisco Giants | 0.600 | 0.780 | $3.0k | +$687.48 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.443 | 1.000 | $2.9k | +$1.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.26Mat 0.498France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
- +$1.18Mat 0.434France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$1.15Mat 0.493Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
- +$1.13Mat 0.387Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
- +$973.2kat 0.478Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:42 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.428 | $2.14 |
| 08-02 22:34 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.9455354825 | $728.55 |
| 08-02 22:28 | Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $75.43 |
| 08-02 22:26 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 08-02 22:23 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.39 | $196.95 |
| 08-02 22:23 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 22:22 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.852 | $1.8k |
| 08-02 22:15 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.83 | $1.1k |
| 08-02 22:15 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.83 | $395.99 |
| 08-02 22:11 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5) | BUY | 0.36 | $108.86 |
| 08-02 22:11 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5615625 | $89.85 |
| 08-02 22:11 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.14 | $2.10 |
| 08-02 22:03 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 08-02 21:47 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.73 | $1.6k |
| 08-02 21:41 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.71 | $122.89 |