0x22491ea35e62a8deb5083b843a89c2e8018950f8
0x22491ea35e62a8deb5083b843a89c2e8018950f8
- Realised P&L
- $-31.38
- Volume
- $450.93
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $6.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.935 | $1.91 | +$0.91 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? · No | 0.640 | 0.635 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.275 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? · No | 0.680 | 0.665 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No | 0.670 | 0.525 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.090 | $0.39 | −$0.61 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.075 | $0.24 | −$0.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.76at 0.470Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$4.54at 0.432Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$3.23at 0.612Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.62at 0.659Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 08:21 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 00:08 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 04:07 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:21 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:20 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 01:58 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 17:34 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:31 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5909997825 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:23 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7849998783 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 12:14 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:12 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 20:07 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 12:05 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:05 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 01:07 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |