0x222fb6fcd88fd53a14f4b79e2b99618c8077d87b
0x222fb6fcd88fd53a14f4b79e2b99618c8077d87b
- Realised P&L
- $-33.83
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $60.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.019 | $60.27 | −$103.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.99at 0.725Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$24.52at 0.570US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
- +$18.23at 0.781Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
- +$16.17at 0.820US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$12.29at 0.264Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 13:59 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0281127494 | $56.75 |
| 10-04 20:28 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.27 | $63.27 |
| 05-31 10:26 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4099999982 | $96.08 |
| 05-31 10:24 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $98.98 |
| 05-11 16:17 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $107.23 |
| 05-11 16:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $120.81 |
| 05-11 16:15 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999984 | $82.32 |
| 05-11 16:15 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.457 | $84.99 |
| 05-11 11:50 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999982 | $87.41 |
| 05-11 11:48 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.3167065484 | $92.86 |
| 05-10 19:46 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3089999982 | $90.60 |
| 05-10 19:42 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.88 | $94.27 |
| 04-28 16:37 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.8599999965 | $92.14 |
| 04-28 16:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $97.43 |
| 04-28 16:32 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $24.65 |