PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x222d1c77016362b2CE6eC81dC23f771945571fce-1768335175250

0x222d1c77016362b2ce6ec81dc23f771945571fce

Realised P&L
$-7.37
Volume
$200.54
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$1.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? · Yes0.8500.830$0.98−$0.02
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.9680.926$0.96−$0.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Up0.1120.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 18:22US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.849999915$1.00
10-02 16:08Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.984$1.00
09-15 02:50Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.9679999923$1.00
09-10 01:27LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.9579999866$1.00
09-03 15:21Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?BUY0.919999448$1.00
09-03 15:16Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?SELL0.974$0.99
08-12 06:18Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9399996992$1.00
08-12 06:12Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?SELL0.93$1.00
07-11 14:54Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.1117006423$2.00
07-11 14:34Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.99$2.00
07-11 14:29Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.95$2.00
07-11 12:54Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.9$1.00
07-11 12:50Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?SELL0.983$1.19
07-11 12:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.9699998332$5.00
07-11 12:34Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.99$5.00