PolyBot

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Traders

commiehater2025

0x2220ec078f76ecf1e80a206701c9a834af13b887

Realised P&L
$458.09
Volume
$33.1k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$309.56

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · No0.1900.365$36.50+$17.50
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4630.525$34.00+$4.00
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0240.025$26.70+$0.55
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0120.024$24.89+$11.89
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2170.115$23.31−$20.69
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.5000.705$21.15+$6.15
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5200.705$20.34+$5.34
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · No0.3300.525$15.91+$5.91
Will Democrats win the Texas and Maine Senate seats, and Republicans win Michigan? · Yes0.0690.037$13.50−$11.50
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1900.255$13.42+$3.42
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0110.013$11.65+$1.65
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0100.015$11.60+$3.60
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0110.015$11.27+$3.27
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1190.102$9.38−$1.62
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3300.285$8.64−$1.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 09:26Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.004$1.00
10-31 09:21Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.004$3.00
10-31 09:21Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.006$5.00
10-31 09:20Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.003$5.00
10-31 09:20Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?SELL0.44$14.04
10-31 09:10Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.011$8.00
10-31 09:08Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.01$8.00
10-31 09:08Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.0380204402$13.58
10-31 09:05Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.011$5.00
10-31 09:05Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.005$5.00
10-30 15:59Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.0115927832$10.00
10-30 15:55Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0279999999$10.00
10-30 13:08Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4699999944$15.00
10-30 13:06Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5299999883$20.00
10-28 22:27Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.62$21.38