PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Steebo

0x221bb0ee6a37c784ae43e0aa77b35a7fc988f7ea

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$92.1k
Markets traded
1,009
Open portfolio
$81.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,009
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat? · Yes0.9580.966$28.00+$0.23
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat? · No0.9050.935$27.11+$0.86
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat? · Yes0.9470.969$26.16+$0.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? · No0.2100.000$0.00$8.40
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$0.09
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No0.1020.000$0.00$0.41
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$3.44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 4? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$6.50
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals · Milwaukee Brewers0.5300.000$0.00$15.90
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? · No0.7870.000$0.00$102.37
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00$0.15
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? · Yes0.3080.000$0.00$4.31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$0.24
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$0.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 18:20Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat?SELL0.968$1.94
05-22 22:14Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.001$1.31
05-22 03:46Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?SELL0.23$0.92
05-20 18:24Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?SELL0.75$14.25
05-19 02:08Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL0.988$4.94
05-16 21:25Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.964$3.86
05-16 20:57 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?SELL0.46$0.92
05-16 20:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.3$1.20
05-16 20:55Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?SELL0.456$2.28
05-16 20:55US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.1$3.90
05-16 19:10Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?SELL0.07$0.14
05-16 19:10Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?SELL0.016$0.03
05-15 23:52Will the Democratic Party win the OK-04 House seat?SELL0.9017731959$7.00
05-15 23:41Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.048$5.28
05-15 23:15Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?SELL0.035$0.14