robertstara
0x221a246b0a8ddf3d3479cae00c4fd591f2a44b7d
- Realised P&L
- $-113.75
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $10.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 24? · No | 0.540 | 0.420 | $10.27 | −$2.93 |
| Raiders vs. Saints · Saints | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.02 |
| Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.69at 0.818Will Taylor Brown win Big Brother season 28?
- +$0.90at 0.304Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$0.18at 0.980Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$0.18at 0.990Will the Liberals win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?
- +$0.13at 0.990Will the Progressive Conservatives win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 23:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 24? | BUY | 0.5399999877 | $13.20 |
| 09-25 18:13 | Will Taylor Brown win Big Brother season 28? | BUY | 0.8099999951 | $16.40 |
| 01-31 13:31 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.66 |
| 01-30 14:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.998999698 | $3.07 |
| 01-30 12:52 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.55 |
| 01-30 12:51 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.58 |
| 12-30 09:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9979998647 | $5.31 |
| 12-30 08:49 | Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.83 |
| 12-30 08:44 | Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.25 |
| 12-29 19:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.49 |
| 12-29 19:17 | Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.25 |
| 10-30 22:48 | Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.42 |
| 10-30 19:50 | Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.79 |
| 09-29 10:18 | Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.00 |
| 09-28 23:55 | Will Solana dip to $150 in September? | BUY | 0.9989999623 | $17.33 |