0x22117a6e7feca863b0b7b2a892dac4cbc70b0fd4
- Realised P&L
- $-554.19
- Volume
- $28.0k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $58.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by March 31, 2027? · No | 0.730 | 0.750 | $15.00 | +$0.40 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? · No | 0.660 | 0.610 | $12.20 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.780 | $7.41 | +$0.00 |
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.500 | $6.54 | +$0.00 |
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.500 | $5.83 | +$0.23 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6k by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.235 | $4.70 | −$0.90 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.291 | 0.255 | $3.31 | −$0.46 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.120 | $2.40 | −$2.80 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.075 | $1.20 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$437.70at 0.411Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$190.59at 0.534Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
- +$190.39at 0.524Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$182.95at 0.559Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$157.80at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 21:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999863 | $8.50 |
| 09-05 19:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999962 | $6.90 |
| 09-05 04:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999841 | $7.80 |
| 09-02 23:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8399999984 | $41.40 |
| 09-02 23:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8499999991 | $45.00 |
| 09-02 23:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $4.18 |
| 09-02 23:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999917 | $12.92 |
| 09-02 22:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999981 | $33.00 |
| 09-02 22:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999857 | $13.86 |
| 09-02 22:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $2.04 |
| 09-02 22:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $17.00 |
| 09-02 22:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999948 | $20.80 |
| 09-02 22:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999998 | $34.03 |
| 09-02 22:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999777 | $8.97 |
| 09-02 22:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $3.60 |