DataDrivenDon
0x220c66bb01c867ac803ed15c3e94333416ee8853
- Realised P&L
- $-237.22
- Volume
- $180.6k
- Markets traded
- 274
- Open portfolio
- $538.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded274
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$504.09at 0.703Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?
- +$111.66at 0.442Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
- +$98.37at 0.017Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$96.15at 0.038Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- +$91.00at 0.280Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 07:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.981 | $289.39 |
| 09-09 01:47 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.921 | $184.20 |
| 09-07 10:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.96 | $192.00 |
| 09-01 08:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.993 | $198.60 |
| 08-29 03:50 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.949 | $189.80 |
| 08-29 03:46 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 08-24 05:36 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.03055 | $3.06 |
| 08-18 03:49 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $60.00 |
| 08-16 03:30 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 08-16 03:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.73 |
| 08-14 14:05 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 08-14 12:14 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $194.80 |
| 08-14 11:58 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $293.40 |
| 08-14 11:58 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 08-12 22:51 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $298.80 |