PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DataDrivenDon

0x220c66bb01c867ac803ed15c3e94333416ee8853

Realised P&L
$-237.22
Volume
$180.6k
Markets traded
274
Open portfolio
$538.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded274
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.8450.838$167.50$1.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? · Yes0.6900.675$135.00$3.00
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6700.645$129.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · Yes0.4000.195$58.50$61.50
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? · Yes0.3900.240$48.00$30.00
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$3.85
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$8.00
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by more than 50%? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.40
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$3.85
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.3520.000$0.00$35.22
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67
Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets0.6270.000$0.00$42.60
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 07:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 15?BUY0.981$289.39
09-09 01:47Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.921$184.20
09-07 10:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 8?BUY0.96$192.00
09-01 08:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 2?BUY0.993$198.60
08-29 03:50Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.949$189.80
08-29 03:46Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?BUY0.95$95.00
08-24 05:36Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?SELL0.03055$3.06
08-18 03:49Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?SELL0.3$60.00
08-16 03:30Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.27$27.00
08-16 03:30Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.4$5.73
08-14 14:05Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?BUY0.9$90.00
08-14 12:14Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?BUY0.974$194.80
08-14 11:58Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.978$293.40
08-14 11:58Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.91$91.00
08-12 22:51Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.996$298.80