PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gmx1

0x22031dfbe752795d20292a5bcf0a03b8741ce5a1

Realised P&L
$-436.23
Volume
$106.8k
Markets traded
169
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded169
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will RISEx launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9800.988$348.59+$2.65
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9470.940$282.00$2.00
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? · No0.7500.930$196.23+$38.08
Dreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.8920.980$196.00+$17.63
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · No0.8100.915$183.00+$21.00
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9480.976$102.93+$2.93
Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9730.984$101.03+$1.03
Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9840.987$98.70+$0.30
Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.6950.989$65.53+$19.48
Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No0.9600.979$45.03+$0.87
Will edgeX reach $3.00 before 2027? · No0.9400.885$36.28$2.25
Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.629$31.45$16.05
Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.750$18.00$0.96
Relay FDV above $1.2B one day after launch? · No0.9170.928$14.57+$0.18
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7950.108$13.02$82.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 16:22Spread: Patriots (-4.5)BUY0.5099999984$100.00
09-20 16:21Spread: Packers (-3.5)BUY0.5499999995$100.00
08-30 16:33Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.894$89.40
08-30 16:32Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8305337783$100.00
08-29 18:53Spread: Virginia (-4.5)BUY0.5199999958$50.00
08-29 05:54Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$190.00
08-20 07:31Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?BUY0.938$187.60
08-18 05:25Will RISEx launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.98$345.94
08-18 05:20Dreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.89185$178.37
07-24 15:39Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?BUY0.999$100.00
07-24 15:38Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?BUY0.999$100.00
07-24 15:38Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?BUY0.997$100.00
07-12 16:54Will edgeX reach $3.00 before 2027?BUY0.94$38.54
07-12 16:48Aligned FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.826$10.16
07-12 16:46Aligned FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.8601945079$50.00