PolyBot

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Traders

HP-f-MOR

0x21fcf377450cbe3512a205fef52dc82035f3578b

Realised P&L
$9.21
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$217.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · No0.4800.445$47.84$3.76
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3580.345$35.65$1.35
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.3600.335$20.47$1.53
Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.1800.235$16.97+$3.97
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.3590.365$14.24+$0.24
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.3000.690$13.80+$7.80
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September? · No0.5610.745$10.62+$2.62
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.3200.645$9.28+$4.67
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.3400.570$9.22+$3.72
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.4100.460$7.85+$0.85
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · No0.2100.325$7.74+$2.74
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September? · No0.4800.435$6.34$0.66
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.5500.470$5.98$1.02
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in September? · No0.4600.365$3.97$1.03
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? · No0.6200.580$3.74$0.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 17:44Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.3499999825$3.00
09-14 15:41Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0119999999$1.00
09-14 15:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.3289999922$8.00
09-14 15:32Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.3$6.00
09-14 15:31Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.5499999882$7.00
09-10 10:20Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
09-10 10:20Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.4099999936$7.00
09-10 10:01WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 10?BUY0.2$6.00
09-10 09:52WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 10?BUY0.3799999924$10.00
09-09 18:09Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.3599999948$22.00
09-07 18:49Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.32$13.82
09-07 17:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$3.00
09-07 17:04Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.2899999579$4.00
09-07 16:20Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?SELL0.69$11.16
09-07 16:19Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?BUY0.5610235961$8.00