nikson8
0x21f52494cdecc2b9ba03aad69f57c87ae798c161
- Realised P&L
- $3.2k
- Volume
- $2.30M
- Markets traded
- 1,178
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,178
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.1kat 0.265Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?
- +$5.9kat 0.420Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$5.1kat 0.536Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
- +$4.9kat 0.518Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-29?
- +$4.7kat 0.479Argentina leading at halftime?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 02:38 | Brazil leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $50.00 |
| 09-29 02:36 | Brazil leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.5607469542 | $1.4k |
| 09-29 02:35 | Australia vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4437450848 | $500.00 |
| 09-29 02:35 | Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4998333889 | $1.5k |
| 09-29 00:39 | Will El Salvador win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.2718432086 | $1.4k |
| 09-29 00:38 | El Salvador leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.235283007 | $1.2k |
| 09-29 00:38 | Will EC Juventude win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.7k |
| 09-28 23:05 | Will EC Juventude win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4306538626 | $485.43 |
| 09-28 23:05 | EC Juventude leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.1987050787 | $500.00 |
| 09-28 23:03 | América FC vs. EC Juventude: EC Juventude O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.28 | $394.52 |
| 09-28 23:03 | Will EC Juventude win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4472396369 | $2.5k |
| 09-28 10:00 | Japan vs. Venezuela: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.394753792 | $632.80 |
| 09-28 10:00 | Japan leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.5935784311 | $3.0k |
| 09-28 01:53 | Will CF América win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.5199999997 | $841.40 |
| 09-28 01:52 | Club Necaxa vs. CF América: CF América O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.2799300174 | $200.00 |