PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x21f30d58ded4652f78b77f296808cbc112cd8116

0x21f30d58ded4652f78b77f296808cbc112cd8116

Realised P&L
$-142.21
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$4.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? · Yes0.4270.298$4.72−$2.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 19:30Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?BUY0.426999978$6.75
08-23 19:27Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.0201455604$7.06
06-28 14:21Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.52$74.10
06-27 21:29Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?SELL0.03$4.49
06-27 21:28Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2299999981$73.32
06-06 14:27Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.84$123.17
06-01 21:18Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?BUY0.2002136226$30.00
05-01 11:47Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.8299999988$89.83
04-19 01:48Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.08$28.03
04-19 01:47Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.9299999904$84.11
04-19 01:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.778604408$37.38