0x21f22d6c576862E6788B9305a65e5BC8252cffC1-1772268987490
0x21f22d6c576862e6788b9305a65e5bc8252cffc1
- Realised P&L
- $-143.55
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $4.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.027 | $4.22 | −$1.78 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.73at 0.738Will Solana reach $110 in March?
- +$1.09at 0.830US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$-3.16at 0.790Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$-4.07at 0.396Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?
- +$-8.50at 0.304Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 10:58 | Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? | BUY | 0.0383606556 | $6.00 |
| 10-01 10:57 | Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.011788135 | $3.60 |
| 08-30 07:40 | Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0620289855 | $2.14 |
| 08-30 07:40 | Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0655509729 | $20.00 |
| 07-02 21:18 | Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2898550725 | $10.00 |
| 03-29 20:38 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1260000011 | $15.00 |
| 03-25 12:57 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | SELL | 0.85 | $46.26 |
| 03-25 12:34 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.8299999989 | $45.17 |
| 03-24 22:06 | Trump out as President by March 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 22:05 | Will Solana reach $110 in March? | SELL | 0.91 | $46.17 |
| 03-16 10:38 | Will Solana reach $110 in March? | BUY | 0.7380292926 | $37.45 |
| 03-09 11:54 | Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 03-09 11:49 | Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.2129999869 | $10.00 |
| 03-03 14:33 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $46.83 |
| 03-03 13:49 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $50.00 |