themostrekt
0x21e773c5364a95e958a75ccec16ef652558a6757
- Realised P&L
- $-542.16
- Volume
- $32.0k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.542 | 0.755 | $1.1k | +$310.52 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.295 | 0.715 | $855.69 | +$502.59 |
| Will the 2027 Pro Football Championship be headlined by a woman? · Yes | 0.587 | 0.490 | $51.94 | −$10.30 |
| Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · Yes | 0.567 | 0.360 | $35.01 | −$20.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$339.15at 0.548Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$261.40at 0.557Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$180.60at 0.513Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$136.03at 0.595Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$119.92at 0.419Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 22:52 | Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.217 | $1.08 |
| 10-07 17:34 | Will the 2027 Pro Football Championship be headlined by a woman? | BUY | 0.54 | $3.24 |
| 10-07 16:06 | Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.446 | $8.92 |
| 10-06 19:13 | Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.7659999982 | $39.25 |
| 10-06 15:56 | Will the 2027 Pro Football Championship be headlined by a woman? | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 07-14 20:56 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.32 | $28.77 |
| 07-10 20:22 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.485 | $4.85 |
| 07-10 20:11 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 07-10 20:06 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 07-09 16:45 | France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5 | $147.77 |
| 07-06 19:01 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 07-05 22:13 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.38 | $9.84 |
| 07-05 21:59 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.38 | $14.67 |
| 07-03 01:07 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | SELL | 0.985 | $196.33 |
| 07-03 00:08 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |