0xaB9DfC6b8BB92aDf5180003020AB80A11333fbDF-1770658510948
0x21e6f59b359bb11a340f79622f4254ed1c8bdfc0
- Realised P&L
- $3.85
- Volume
- $111.57
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $9.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.385 | $5.83 | +$0.83 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.845 | $3.17 | +$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.93at 0.414Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
- +$1.62at 0.655US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
- +$1.34at 0.605US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton
- +$1.23at 0.625Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?
- +$1.17at 0.724US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:19 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 18:19 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 05:37 | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.5599999851 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 05:37 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 08:02 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 09:32 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 09:29 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 09:28 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.84 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 09:28 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 19:26 | Spain vs. USA | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 12:47 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4299999498 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 07:33 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.8699999652 | $3.00 |
| 09-10 18:09 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $3.00 |
| 09-10 18:08 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | BUY | 0.64 | $3.00 |
| 09-10 18:07 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.00 |