PolyBot

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Traders

Chesterr

0x21e1a2d4bc67db486f4a045b13a7c105c7a8336d

Realised P&L
$-28.21
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$22.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) · Arman Tsarukyan0.7480.735$18.38$0.33
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.006$1.96$89.58
Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.2130.011$1.51$29.14
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.0700.024$1.03$1.97
US strike on Mexico by March 31? · Yes0.1510.000$0.00$12.00
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$8.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$8.00
Spread: Spain (-2.5) · Spain0.0650.000$0.00$2.60
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026? · No0.3310.000$0.00$18.80
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$2.00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · No0.3970.000$0.00$4.00
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$1.00
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · No0.3110.000$0.00$0.37
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.2320.000$0.00$8.37
Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00$18.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 08:57UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.74$11.10
09-09 13:22UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.76$7.60
09-02 09:48UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.62$21.70
09-01 14:18UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.62$21.70
08-15 17:01Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?BUY0.11$3.85
08-15 16:38Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?BUY0.11$4.95
08-15 16:34UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)SELL0.25$5.00
08-15 12:23Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?BUY0.09$3.60
08-15 12:22UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)SELL0.24$4.80
08-15 12:11UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)BUY0.36$6.48
08-15 12:08Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?BUY0.09$6.30
08-15 12:05UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)SELL0.35$10.50
08-15 12:03Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026?SELL0.28$9.30
08-15 11:59Will Ilia Topuria fight Charles Oliveira next?SELL0.899$3.26
08-07 12:24UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)BUY0.33$14.85