Chesterr
0x21e1a2d4bc67db486f4a045b13a7c105c7a8336d
- Realised P&L
- $-28.21
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $22.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.57at 0.497DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
- +$30.71at 0.583US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$25.31at 0.998Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
- +$24.17at 0.757Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$23.51at 0.603Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:57 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.74 | $11.10 |
| 09-09 13:22 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 09-02 09:48 | UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.62 | $21.70 |
| 09-01 14:18 | UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.62 | $21.70 |
| 08-15 17:01 | Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.85 |
| 08-15 16:38 | Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.95 |
| 08-15 16:34 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-15 12:23 | Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.60 |
| 08-15 12:22 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 08-15 12:11 | UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.36 | $6.48 |
| 08-15 12:08 | Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.09 | $6.30 |
| 08-15 12:05 | UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 08-15 12:03 | Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $9.30 |
| 08-15 11:59 | Will Ilia Topuria fight Charles Oliveira next? | SELL | 0.899 | $3.26 |
| 08-07 12:24 | UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.33 | $14.85 |