fredmff
0x21dbd57fe0a01a386fd022a2c742593ae46a10f1
- Realised P&L
- $52.06
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $118.32
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.04at 0.270Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$22.24at 0.310Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$9.33at 0.630Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.93at 0.610Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
- +$4.49at 0.690Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 14:16 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.942 | $5.23 |
| 07-13 14:16 | Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.916 | $10.74 |
| 07-13 14:16 | Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.987 | $10.69 |
| 07-08 14:49 | Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group G? | BUY | 0.9759999969 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 14:49 | Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group B? | BUY | 0.9829999974 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 14:43 | Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 14:43 | Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.9339999978 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 14:15 | Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 14:15 | Erling Haaland: 1+ shots | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 14:14 | Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 00:02 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.53 | $25.48 |
| 07-03 00:39 | Will Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9579999333 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 22:40 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.884 | $10.04 |
| 07-01 22:39 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.8799999296 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 22:38 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | SELL | 0.65 | $5.41 |