0x21d92f3631d8c7e76267de22d1e9dd6c8b1f4968
0x21d92f3631d8c7e76267de22d1e9dd6c8b1f4968
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $52.5k
- Markets traded
- 395
- Open portfolio
- $43.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded395
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open, Qualification: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Valentin Royer · Botic van de Zandschulp | 0.620 | 0.595 | $42.23 | −$1.77 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.061 | $1.65 | −$0.14 |
| Spread: Ravens (-5.5) · Ravens | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$286.61at 0.576Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
- +$220.51at 0.376Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Matteo Arnaldi
- +$141.65at 0.540Chargers vs. Bills
- +$128.23at 0.199Packers vs. Vikings
- +$121.01at 0.353Roehampton 2: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Oskari Paldanius
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 02:04 | China Open, Qualification: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Valentin Royer | BUY | 0.6199999994 | $44.00 |
| 09-28 02:03 | Rams vs. Broncos | SELL | 0.89 | $174.44 |
| 09-28 01:19 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | BUY | 0.0659999979 | $1.79 |
| 09-27 23:54 | Rams vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.5 | $98.00 |
| 09-27 23:46 | Ravens vs. Cowboys | SELL | 0.99 | $201.14 |
| 09-27 23:42 | Spread: Ravens (-5.5) | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 20:31 | Vikings vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.4399999994 | $58.00 |
| 09-27 19:56 | Ravens vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.6299999987 | $128.00 |
| 09-27 19:54 | Bengals vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.4399999986 | $50.00 |
| 09-27 19:54 | Chargers vs. Bills | SELL | 0.96 | $327.33 |
| 09-27 19:05 | Seahawks vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $62.00 |
| 09-27 19:04 | Chargers vs. Bills | BUY | 0.4899999979 | $64.89 |
| 09-27 19:04 | Patriots vs. Jaguars | SELL | 0.93 | $128.79 |
| 09-27 18:07 | Chargers vs. Bills | BUY | 0.479999998 | $38.00 |
| 09-27 18:07 | Patriots vs. Jaguars | SELL | 0.81 | $38.07 |