kosta.solo.86
0x21d909661fb8287493a33847e38358656f06a9e4
- Realised P&L
- $-38.85
- Volume
- $28.4k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $6.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.358 | 0.440 | $6.14 | +$1.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.65at 0.678Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$3.68at 0.710Solana above $185 on January 3?
- +$3.64at 0.610Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?
- +$3.61at 0.560Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?
- +$2.58at 0.660Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-23 07:13 | Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3585514521 | $5.00 |
| 01-17 14:14 | Will Solana dip to $30 in January? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.16 |
| 01-17 14:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.50 |
| 01-16 07:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 01-16 07:20 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $3.30 |
| 01-14 07:51 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.40 |
| 01-13 10:08 | Will Solana dip to $30 in January? | BUY | 0.002 | $20.00 |
| 12-08 10:55 | Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 12-08 10:55 | Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | BUY | 0.8599999828 | $3.00 |
| 12-03 07:43 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 12-03 07:43 | Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize? | SELL | 0.945 | $3.11 |
| 11-07 11:39 | Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize? | BUY | 0.9099997513 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 14:21 | Over 80% "For" on the Jupiter burn proposal? | BUY | 0.9709999995 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 14:59 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 21-27? | BUY | 0.988999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 09:41 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6599998733 | $5.00 |