dgsgr
0x21cef4dffd27548ac5809668497a71f5d9ee7678
- Realised P&L
- $-162.06
- Volume
- $30.5k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $91.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.695 | 0.695 | $50.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.115 | $34.50 | +$10.50 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.068 | $6.80 | −$72.20 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.97 |
| Will Solana reach $260 before 2026? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August? · Yes | 0.569 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.00at 0.500Will Backpack launch a token by December 31?
- +$25.00at 0.500Bitcoin all time high by March 31?
- +$17.00at 0.500MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?
- +$10.00at 0.500Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
- +$5.13at 0.790Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 02:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6948442555 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 01:04 | Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 07-18 01:04 | Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 07-17 10:17 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 07-17 10:15 | Will a Goal be Scored During 91-105 Minute? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 07-17 10:14 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 07-17 09:58 | Will Pam Bondi attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 07-17 09:21 | Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 07-17 09:20 | Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 07-17 09:15 | Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 42 million and 46 million? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-17 09:14 | Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31? | SELL | 0.144125 | $2.88 |
| 07-17 09:13 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31? | SELL | 0.157 | $3.14 |
| 07-17 09:13 | Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million? | SELL | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 07-17 07:59 | Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 06-30 03:55 | Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03? | SELL | 0.49 | $24.50 |