matto-
0x21c9d251f1c9bb90fac1c0dd23b46c81a6620302
- Realised P&L
- $5.5k
- Volume
- $926.9k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $60 in October? · No | 0.985 | 0.991 | $3.5k | +$19.31 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? · No | 0.975 | 0.971 | $1.8k | −$8.51 |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.927 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$502.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$541.37at 0.931Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
- +$510.59at 0.900Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
- +$423.31at 0.940Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$411.85at 0.985Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
- +$398.07at 0.974Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 05:35 | Will Solana dip to $60 in October? | BUY | 0.985 | $3.5k |
| 10-13 05:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | BUY | 0.975 | $1.8k |
| 10-10 05:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | BUY | 0.974 | $4.87 |
| 09-21 12:41 | Will Solana reach $170 in September? | BUY | 0.9838366699 | $1.0k |
| 09-19 16:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | SELL | 0.997 | $0.41 |
| 09-02 08:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.981 | $2.0k |
| 08-20 12:04 | Will Solana reach $160 in August? | BUY | 0.993 | $297.60 |
| 07-31 05:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.0k |
| 07-29 07:00 | Will Solana reach $120 in July? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.32 |
| 07-29 06:59 | Will Solana reach $130 in July? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.35 |
| 07-28 10:37 | Will Solana dip to $40 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $197.80 |
| 07-28 10:36 | Will Solana reach $130 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $26.20 |
| 07-26 13:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.81 |
| 07-04 07:27 | Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) | BUY | 0.993 | $442.82 |
| 06-30 17:40 | Will Solana dip to $50 in June? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.19 |