kekek-732
0x21b6cc61cbb85f024b7030ad515011b696986ab9
- Realised P&L
- $178.90
- Volume
- $22.6k
- Markets traded
- 245
- Open portfolio
- $193.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded245
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $175.69 | +$0.09 |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.956 | 0.986 | $17.66 | +$0.53 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.63 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.34at 0.746Will Solana reach $150 in April?
- +$66.82at 0.545Will Coinbase announce another coin as next listing?
- +$40.19at 0.627Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$38.22at 0.077$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?
- +$35.57at 0.628Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:33 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $175.60 |
| 09-04 02:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $97.39 |
| 09-04 02:13 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $77.92 |
| 08-22 03:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $174.97 |
| 08-07 03:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $142.00 |
| 08-07 03:08 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $32.00 |
| 07-21 02:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July? | BUY | 0.996999998 | $172.00 |
| 07-07 03:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 11? | BUY | 0.9969999982 | $173.00 |
| 07-02 16:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.9989999952 | $173.00 |
| 06-16 02:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 15-21? | BUY | 0.99 | $169.00 |
| 06-16 02:13 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.5799994896 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 02:13 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 02:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14? | BUY | 0.98288299 | $168.00 |
| 06-03 02:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.998 | $165.00 |
| 05-31 11:32 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.43 |