huff13103
0x21aaa7b3b93b955a519c8936f2edcc05d7e8515f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $115.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-21.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.976 | $58.38 | +$1.56 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.940 | $56.92 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$588.00at 0.510Storm vs Aces
- +$450.00at 0.250Mystics vs Fever
- +$390.00at 0.610Reds vs. Pirates
- +$5.41at 0.943Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?
- +$2.44at 0.920Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 11:07 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-19 07:08 | Mariners vs. Phillies | BUY | 0.38 | $380.00 |
| 08-12 13:03 | Rockies vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.63 | $504.00 |
| 08-07 10:09 | Reds vs. Pirates | BUY | 0.61 | $610.00 |
| 04-30 11:55 | Timberwolves vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.6799999999 | $212.00 |