0x219e77f53f72f8706651daf17ae8fbdc74c1c845
- Realised P&L
- $9.42
- Volume
- $263.08
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $15.08
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.885 | $3.40 | +$1.40 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.650 | $2.55 | +$0.55 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.999 | $2.51 | +$1.28 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.235 | $2.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.265 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.335 | $1.86 | −$0.14 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.058 | $0.48 | −$1.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.20at 0.329Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
- +$4.07at 0.337Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?
- +$3.99at 0.341Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$3.82at 0.351Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?
- +$3.28at 0.384Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:13 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 12:08 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 03:20 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 19:20 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 07:06 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 04:34 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 18:50 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 10:49 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 01:23 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 15:19 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 12:50 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 04:20 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998787 | $1.57 |
| 09-07 20:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 10:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.4899998128 | $1.23 |
| 09-03 22:49 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |