esoddx
0x2191bfdf0a13843ab2c90d6a893b7ba49011b854
- Realised P&L
- $-224.47
- Volume
- $41.8k
- Markets traded
- 555
- Open portfolio
- $84.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded555
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? · No | 0.993 | 0.992 | $69.93 | −$0.07 |
| Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of summit? · No | 0.994 | 0.981 | $14.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? · No | 0.986 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.45at 0.720Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?
- +$9.50at 0.050Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
- +$8.00at 0.949Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 50% on May 31?
- +$2.43at 0.862Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.16at 0.998Will XRP reach $3.80 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 14:18 | Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of summit? | BUY | 0.994 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 14:16 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? | BUY | 0.9929999884 | $70.00 |
| 09-18 14:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? | SELL | 0.9868409475 | $69.99 |
| 09-17 12:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9869999974 | $70.00 |
| 09-17 12:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $69.79 |
| 09-16 12:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $70.00 |
| 09-16 11:58 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $70.00 |
| 09-15 13:01 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999889 | $70.00 |
| 09-15 13:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.997 | $69.93 |
| 09-14 13:44 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $70.00 |
| 09-14 13:40 | Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.989893535 | $69.36 |
| 09-12 08:40 | Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $70.00 |
| 09-12 08:36 | Will Solana reach $200 in September? | SELL | 0.992 | $69.93 |
| 09-11 07:52 | Will Solana reach $200 in September? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $70.00 |
| 09-11 07:50 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $69.93 |