chaicubator
0x21869c3e08fe02a9d2dd2a7c759e8f280fea38bb
- Realised P&L
- $-804.88
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $95.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.080 | $95.43 | −$38.10 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · No | 0.803 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$562.10 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 18? · No | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$268.66 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.30 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January? · No | 0.079 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.41 |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? · No | 0.111 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$111.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.88at 0.230US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$90.81at 0.854Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 03:20 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1119435511 | $133.53 |
| 02-04 11:12 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $33.12 |
| 01-30 12:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | BUY | 0.803 | $495.45 |
| 01-30 10:06 | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.031 | $9.30 |
| 01-26 13:43 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January? | BUY | 0.069 | $1.20 |
| 01-23 13:14 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January? | BUY | 0.854 | $531.19 |
| 09-17 13:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.053732512 | $268.66 |