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0x21820eD5dfB2A9ec0D13A3Ab1768c4cc9f6b897f-1771230941956

0x21820ed5dfb2a9ec0d13a3ab1768c4cc9f6b897f

Realised P&L
$86.40
Volume
$461.03
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$202.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar18.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? · Yes0.5900.930$70.93+$25.93
US military draft authorized in 2026? · No0.8100.954$58.86+$8.86
Natural Disaster in 2026? · No0.5300.775$29.25+$9.25
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.3010.550$18.29+$8.29
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · No0.2390.110$15.12$17.77
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.2300.450$9.78+$4.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-07 20:12US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.8099999977$50.00
04-05 09:57Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?BUY0.3007839634$10.00
04-05 09:56Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.2393436062$32.89
02-16 10:55Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?BUY0.589999998$45.00
02-16 10:53Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
02-16 10:39Natural Disaster in 2026?BUY0.5299999883$20.00
02-16 10:35Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?BUY0.6099999927$20.00
02-16 10:32Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?BUY0.299999982$10.00
02-16 10:27Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.5969999889$15.98