uchiha.itachi
0x216ecd622dd0dd7afcaae24ed1710dec8ba59ac8
- Realised P&L
- $-101.96
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $59.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.91at 0.369Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
- +$20.94at 0.389Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition
- +$20.52at 0.060No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
- +$16.70at 0.412Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$16.57at 0.741Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 16:00 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 08-29 16:00 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.06 |
| 08-29 15:59 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 07-18 08:25 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m? | SELL | 0.972 | $19.44 |
| 06-20 22:04 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 05-17 19:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 05-10 16:25 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $9.97 |
| 04-17 14:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.83 | $33.20 |
| 04-15 14:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.77 | $30.80 |
| 04-15 14:10 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 04-12 13:44 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | SELL | 0.592 | $11.84 |
| 04-12 10:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 04-11 16:09 | Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 04-11 14:08 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $32.90 |
| 04-04 16:48 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.8 | $40.00 |