PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

954bjhyt

0x216e129e4b566bd779b1da19f353c4723b2973b7

Realised P&L
$-138.48
Volume
$28.6k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$13.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration76.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0050.001$10.00$90.00
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.001$3.45$58.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-27 10:15Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.009$62.08
02-27 10:14Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.987$61.67
02-04 06:36Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.988$166.86
01-28 01:14Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?BUY0.999$166.70
01-28 01:10Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.992$166.44
01-14 00:08Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.995$166.95
01-07 08:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 9?BUY0.999$64.00
01-07 08:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 9?BUY0.999$102.00
01-04 01:35Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 December 29-January 4?BUY0.999$119.88
12-08 07:42Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?BUY0.9989999957$106.44
12-08 07:42Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?BUY0.9979999913$60.00
11-26 02:28Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?BUY0.999$56.94
11-20 03:25Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?BUY0.985$98.50