Stephan817
0x216cac707ba6ada7291641f72c2227471fa7ec53
- Realised P&L
- $224.54
- Volume
- $77.0k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $6.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.022 | $6.93 | −$15.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$172.31at 0.192US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$34.24at 0.139Will Jim Parillo win the Legend Trade Series?
- +$32.72at 0.687Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$8.18at 0.497Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
- +$5.57at 0.881Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 19:36 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.074 | $22.79 |
| 05-13 04:18 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.927 | $0.93 |
| 05-12 23:12 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.927 | $180.77 |
| 05-12 20:27 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.927 | $180.77 |
| 05-12 16:49 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.073 | $2.41 |
| 05-12 13:23 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.073 | $21.97 |
| 05-12 05:37 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.073 | $7.88 |
| 04-26 22:07 | Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.514 | $198.92 |
| 04-26 09:25 | Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.13 | $4.16 |
| 04-24 17:07 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | SELL | 0.563 | $96.27 |
| 04-24 14:38 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.57 | $201.21 |
| 04-24 09:16 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.497 | $92.44 |
| 04-22 05:35 | Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026? | SELL | 0.118 | $75.52 |
| 04-22 02:39 | Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026? | BUY | 0.129 | $82.56 |
| 04-21 11:00 | Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $8.12 |