PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

crazytestguy

0x21675c39d2e3ddd37119b6e2392fc5f0bb0e5ded

Realised P&L
$337.35
Volume
$24.0k
Markets traded
523
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded523
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.9080.953$78.70+$3.70
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.9260.961$77.82+$2.82
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · No0.9540.980$77.04+$2.04
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.9660.978$75.89+$0.89
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9680.978$75.78+$0.78
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · No0.9790.978$74.91$0.09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8960.875$73.24$1.76
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.9470.987$52.09+$2.09
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.8540.885$51.80+$1.80
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9640.974$50.52+$0.52
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026? · No0.9850.988$50.13+$0.13
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? · No0.9550.957$50.11+$0.11
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? · No0.9840.986$50.05+$0.05
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9350.935$50.00+$0.00
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9810.977$49.75$0.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 09:01Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.7299999994$25.00
08-04 07:10Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.7599999976$25.00
08-04 07:10Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.9599999846$25.00
08-04 02:34Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.6999999776$25.00
08-03 19:15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.8699999662$25.00
08-03 02:35Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.9779999672$25.00
08-03 00:56Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.9739999649$25.00
08-02 22:34Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.6599999799$25.00
08-02 22:34Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.85$25.00
08-02 22:28Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?BUY0.9479999986$25.00
08-02 21:38Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.95$25.00
08-02 21:28Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.5099999988$25.00
08-02 21:10Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9829999967$25.00
08-02 20:57Will Arthur Fils Win ATP MontrealBUY0.962$25.00
08-02 20:57Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.82$25.00