crazytestguy
0x21675c39d2e3ddd37119b6e2392fc5f0bb0e5ded
- Realised P&L
- $337.35
- Volume
- $24.0k
- Markets traded
- 523
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded523
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$207.56at 0.107Spread: Spain (-1.5)
- +$88.64at 0.220Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
- +$58.33at 0.300Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
- +$58.33at 0.300Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$55.65at 0.310Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:01 | Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.7299999994 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 07:10 | Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.7599999976 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 07:10 | Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.9599999846 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 02:34 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.6999999776 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 19:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8699999662 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 02:35 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.9779999672 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 00:56 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.9739999649 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 22:34 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.6599999799 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 22:34 | Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.85 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 22:28 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.9479999986 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 21:38 | Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.95 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 21:28 | Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 21:10 | Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9829999967 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 20:57 | Will Arthur Fils Win ATP Montreal | BUY | 0.962 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 20:57 | Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.82 | $25.00 |