PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

a1NBA

0x21648abc6128a0d1927811a302d2a67debf4a82b

Realised P&L
$828.13
Volume
$208.9k
Markets traded
119
Open portfolio
$645.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded119
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2160.215$107.50$0.50
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No0.7960.815$101.12+$2.33
3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No0.9190.945$57.65+$1.57
Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.1730.205$52.56+$8.30
3Jane FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.8500.820$48.38$1.76
3Jane FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.8700.834$38.94$1.68
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9100.945$37.79+$1.38
3Jane FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9300.933$37.32+$0.12
3Jane FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9250.900$35.99$1.00
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0380.035$30.36$3.14
Concrete FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.8200.815$22.50$0.14
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1800.205$20.50+$2.50
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.2200.225$19.80+$0.44
Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7000.630$12.60$1.40
3Jane FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.5000.315$9.45$5.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 09:38Will Cap reach $0.20 before 2027?SELL0.92$32.02
07-30 09:38Will Cap reach $0.15 before 2027?SELL0.90625$36.25
07-30 09:38Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?SELL0.27$32.40
07-08 01:28Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.18$72.00
07-08 01:28Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.78$426.73
07-08 01:273Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?BUY0.9191803279$56.07
07-05 12:18Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.04$3.20
07-05 12:15Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.22$19.36
07-03 23:31Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.162$32.40
07-03 23:18Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.334$66.80
07-01 23:59Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.023$11.50
07-01 23:58Squid FDV above $600M one day after launchSELL0.03$0.60
06-29 08:56Will Cap reach $0.20 before 2027?BUY0.838277512$35.04
06-28 02:41Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?SELL0.3$30.00
06-28 02:18Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?BUY0.44$44.00
Trader a1NBA · PolyBot