a1NBA
0x21648abc6128a0d1927811a302d2a67debf4a82b
- Realised P&L
- $658.00
- Volume
- $211.4k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $163.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$460.82at 0.450Lakers vs. Cavaliers
- +$416.90at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$379.61at 0.310Heat vs. Celtics
- +$372.96at 0.440Clippers vs. Nuggets
- +$256.41at 0.290Wizards vs. Nets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:55 | 3Jane FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9214265226 | $96.37 |
| 11-01 10:54 | Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.025 | $22.00 |
| 11-01 10:54 | Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 11-01 10:54 | Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.053 | $10.60 |
| 11-01 10:54 | Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.944 | $22.74 |
| 10-14 05:17 | 3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9497748063 | $38.00 |
| 10-14 05:17 | 3Jane FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.953 | $38.12 |
| 10-14 05:17 | Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.1887124426 | $43.59 |
| 10-14 05:16 | 3Jane FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.87 | $55.31 |
| 10-14 05:16 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.19 | $190.00 |
| 10-14 05:16 | 3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.965254 | $106.18 |
| 10-14 05:16 | Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.229 | $4.58 |
| 10-04 02:04 | 3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.96 | $47.04 |
| 09-24 08:51 | 3Jane FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8807864108 | $56.00 |
| 07-30 09:38 | Will Cap reach $0.20 before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $32.02 |