a1NBA
0x21648abc6128a0d1927811a302d2a67debf4a82b
- Realised P&L
- $828.13
- Volume
- $208.9k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $645.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$460.81at 0.450Lakers vs. Cavaliers
- +$416.90at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$379.61at 0.310Heat vs. Celtics
- +$372.96at 0.440Clippers vs. Nuggets
- +$256.41at 0.290Wizards vs. Nets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 09:38 | Will Cap reach $0.20 before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $32.02 |
| 07-30 09:38 | Will Cap reach $0.15 before 2027? | SELL | 0.90625 | $36.25 |
| 07-30 09:38 | Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.27 | $32.40 |
| 07-08 01:28 | Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.18 | $72.00 |
| 07-08 01:28 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.78 | $426.73 |
| 07-08 01:27 | 3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9191803279 | $56.07 |
| 07-05 12:18 | Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.04 | $3.20 |
| 07-05 12:15 | Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.22 | $19.36 |
| 07-03 23:31 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.162 | $32.40 |
| 07-03 23:18 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.334 | $66.80 |
| 07-01 23:59 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.023 | $11.50 |
| 07-01 23:58 | Squid FDV above $600M one day after launch | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 06-29 08:56 | Will Cap reach $0.20 before 2027? | BUY | 0.838277512 | $35.04 |
| 06-28 02:41 | Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | SELL | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 06-28 02:18 | Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.44 | $44.00 |