ThatOneLatino
0x2161fae5a1a4c22e2c7949b0784bcb9dfbb3a6bb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $42.5k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.88at 0.430Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?
- +$82.92at 0.682Will Trump say "unity" during RNC speech?
- +$56.36at 0.860Will Trump say "Hung Cao" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?
- +$32.07at 0.280Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?
- +$31.48at 0.544Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:31 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine? | BUY | 0.009 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 20:55 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? | BUY | 0.0088888421 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 20:48 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:40 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.0059943282 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 20:19 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:14 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:14 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:13 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio? | BUY | 0.0044980613 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:13 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:12 | Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:11 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.0044321308 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 20:10 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:10 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? | BUY | 0.0076988295 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 17:51 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.29 | $551.00 |
| 10-22 03:02 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.34 | $70.72 |