PolyBot

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Traders

ThatOneLatino

0x2161fae5a1a4c22e2c7949b0784bcb9dfbb3a6bb

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$42.5k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3340.285$2.1k−$358.87
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2790.255$717.72−$68.86
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6060.585$399.39−$14.07
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5230.220$231.22−$318.10
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.3840.295$156.35−$47.15
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio? · Yes0.0050.004$60.44−$19.54
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? · Yes0.0080.006$38.51−$11.49
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine? · Yes0.0090.008$35.56−$4.44
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6300.475$23.75−$7.75
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3800.305$17.65−$4.34
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3890.265$14.05−$6.57
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio? · Yes0.0040.004$10.00+$0.00
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska? · Yes0.0070.007$10.00+$0.00
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · Yes0.0400.040$9.88−$0.13
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? · Yes0.0080.007$9.38−$0.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:31Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine?BUY0.009$30.00
11-01 20:55Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?BUY0.0088888421$30.00
11-01 20:48Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan?BUY0.007$10.00
11-01 20:40Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio?BUY0.0059943282$50.00
11-01 20:19Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?BUY0.008$10.00
11-01 20:14Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?BUY0.008$10.00
11-01 20:14Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska?BUY0.007$10.00
11-01 20:13Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio?BUY0.0044980613$10.00
11-01 20:13Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine?BUY0.009$10.00
11-01 20:12Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.04$10.00
11-01 20:11Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio?BUY0.0044321308$30.00
11-01 20:10Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?BUY0.007$10.00
11-01 20:10Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?BUY0.0076988295$10.00
11-01 17:51Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.29$551.00
10-22 03:02Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.34$70.72