amalgame
0x215f475167835935134c1723b5e0388468a57e02
- Realised P&L
- $146.79
- Volume
- $21.7k
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $271.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$349.87at 0.462Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
- +$117.23at 0.321Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
- +$94.51at 0.510Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)
- +$69.05at 0.420Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$40.97at 0.645Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 04:17 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 04:15 | Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0674074716 | $40.00 |
| 09-04 06:46 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 06:45 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4199999933 | $20.00 |
| 09-04 06:44 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3529999967 | $50.00 |
| 09-04 06:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 17:15 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3774999875 | $15.00 |
| 07-12 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.3699999272 | $3.00 |
| 07-12 15:52 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 15:52 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 15:47 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4199999933 | $20.00 |
| 07-11 20:44 | Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 20:44 | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 20:44 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6824999919 | $4.00 |