PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MFR40

0x215f45e21e138614113f2bf0513ed574d55a9bda

Realised P&L
$-261.98
Volume
$29.5k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$0.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · No0.2600.135$0.74−$0.68
Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks · Chiba Lotte Marines0.3200.006$0.09−$4.91
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar · Taylor Fritz0.7500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will US Virgin Islands win on 2026-10-04? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$5.00
UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Deiveson Figueiredo0.1500.000$0.00−$5.00
West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies · India0.8200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 29? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$5.00
China Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Maja Chwalinska · Maja Chwalinska0.6100.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 15:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.94$4.70
10-06 15:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?BUY0.9399999887$5.00
10-06 14:59Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 6?BUY0.9$5.00
10-06 14:57Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 6?BUY0.9$5.00
10-06 14:15Ethereum Up or Down on October 6?BUY0.9299999888$5.00
10-06 14:09Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?BUY0.9480519382$5.00
10-06 14:05Solana Up or Down on October 6?BUY0.9399999962$5.00
10-03 23:23Will US Virgin Islands win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.3499999825$5.00
10-03 18:22Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.4799999846$5.00
10-03 04:23West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West IndiesBUY0.8199999967$5.00
10-02 16:23UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.149999997$5.00
10-02 08:23China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina BucsaBUY0.3299999815$5.00
10-02 07:52Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank HawksBUY0.32$5.00
10-02 06:23China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno BustaBUY0.1699999983$5.00
10-02 00:35Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesSELL0.81$8.10