PolyBot

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Traders

0x2156f236ceb5b004340348ffea7ca51247718b8a

0x2156f236ceb5b004340348ffea7ca51247718b8a

Realised P&L
$-1.27
Volume
$37.97
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$5.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 05:25Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-23 05:24Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-22 21:23Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-22 13:22Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-22 05:08Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-20 08:08Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-19 23:53Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-19 23:46Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-19 11:52Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-19 03:51Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-18 18:23Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-18 08:48Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-18 00:21Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
09-17 16:13Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00