PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

LONGLIFE11

0x2156db24f5ebd00f7c8b1709c51e38288d355c9f

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$177.8k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$29.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0490.004$25.26$251.07
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.080$4.35$0.54
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? · Yes0.1360.000$0.00$1.9k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 17:08Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999838$4.89
07-27 06:56Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0492328481$276.33
07-02 01:33Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.021$126.00
07-01 16:44England vs. DR Congo: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6899999997$128.00
06-29 09:42Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.009$81.00
06-25 02:25Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.3041538462$21.75
06-17 09:42Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY0.1392166937$1.4k
06-04 13:36Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01$90.00
06-04 13:33Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.012$72.00
06-02 13:30Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.27$19.30
06-01 17:01MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.996$188.28
06-01 13:19MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.2687148838$50.80
06-01 13:19MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.73$53.14
06-01 12:19MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.8089999982$58.89
05-24 07:09US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?SELL0.12$59.40