PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xlongtermer

0x2154b32b4ad93de305691465e20239696e6c9ba8

Realised P&L
$1.71
Volume
$728.47
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$6.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5900.720$6.14+$1.11
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00−$8.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 14:11Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.5738771815$15.84
10-25 14:10Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.93$5.05
10-25 14:10Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.59$3.83
10-25 14:08Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.05$0.70
10-25 14:07Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?SELL0.003$0.01
09-06 23:17Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?BUY0.5899999543$5.03
09-06 23:15NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.89$5.11
09-06 23:14Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.709999866$4.45
09-06 23:13Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?BUY0.64$3.00
08-30 17:47Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.2699999655$3.76
08-30 17:46NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8699999983$5.00
08-30 17:45Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.9199999043$5.00
08-30 17:44Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6635513808$5.00
08-30 17:43Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.7699998691$5.00
08-30 17:41Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.92$6.15