ce61j5s8gksb
0x214fbcb02ec510d2ed1e7ef9cec497b1c0befabc
- Realised P&L
- $-554.63
- Volume
- $68.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,236
- Open portfolio
- $6.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,236
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$200.11at 0.432Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$148.16at 0.209Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7AM ET
- +$144.53at 0.485Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$117.51at 0.476Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
- +$111.36at 0.431Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 23:59 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0062409588 | $9.50 |
| 08-06 04:44 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.10 |
| 06-17 13:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 13:30 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.016 | $12.50 |
| 06-15 03:34 | Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.4299999853 | $7.00 |
| 06-15 03:32 | Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1000174545 | $2.75 |
| 06-15 03:31 | Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $1.28 |
| 06-10 01:12 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1019999916 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 04:14 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8639999938 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 02:02 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.016 | $25.00 |
| 05-19 23:40 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.0099255583 | $4.00 |
| 05-06 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 05-06 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7? | BUY | 0.4099999289 | $3.00 |
| 05-05 08:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 6? | BUY | 0.4420817734 | $4.50 |
| 04-29 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1? | BUY | 0.1328204292 | $17.00 |