PolyBot

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Traders

RunUp-Fly

0x214e84616d20439e1d6afd23df461dff7ae82ed7

Realised P&L
$-993.35
Volume
$55.0k
Markets traded
2,329
Open portfolio
$4.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,329
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 12? · Yes0.6000.575$2.88−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 12? · Yes0.2900.315$1.57+$0.13
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00−$1.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up0.9500.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00−$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Up0.6500.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET · Up0.7150.000$0.00−$7.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up0.8400.000$0.00−$4.94
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET · Up0.1900.000$0.00−$1.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET · Up0.1520.000$0.00−$6.46
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Down0.9400.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Down0.8900.000$0.00−$4.55
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill? · No0.8350.000$0.00−$10.00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Down0.5300.000$0.00−$2.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00−$1.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 10:20Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 11?SELL0.999$2.38
10-11 10:08Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 12?BUY0.29$1.45
10-11 10:08Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 12?BUY0.6$3.00
10-10 13:04Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-10 13:03Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 11?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-10 13:03Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?SELL0.999$2.32
10-09 11:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
10-09 11:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-09 11:00Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 9?SELL0.998$2.38
10-08 11:28Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 9?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-08 11:28Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 9?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-08 11:20Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 8?SELL0.999$2.12
10-07 09:18Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 8?BUY0.05$1.00
10-07 09:17Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 8?BUY0.29999994$1.00
10-07 09:17Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 8?BUY0.469999906$1.00