RunUp-Fly
0x214e84616d20439e1d6afd23df461dff7ae82ed7
- Realised P&L
- $-993.35
- Volume
- $55.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,329
- Open portfolio
- $4.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,329
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.27at 0.253Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
- +$34.92at 0.221Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
- +$33.56at 0.231Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
- +$33.49at 0.090Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
- +$32.27at 0.032Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.38 |
| 10-11 10:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 10-11 10:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 10-10 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.32 |
| 10-09 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.38 |
| 10-08 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.12 |
| 10-07 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |