PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x214Bd3D5F423bc8D60cf4Cf76e323e199367cd8b-1762690204442

0x214bd3d5f423bc8d60cf4cf76e323e199367cd8b

Realised P&L
$425.91
Volume
$26.7k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.6000.993$1.2k+$478.85
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2100.235$235.00+$25.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3580.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.8010.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? · No0.1390.000$0.00−$12.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$1.08
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22? · No0.1030.000$0.00−$26.46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Up0.7700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$3.57
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? · No0.8750.000$0.00−$80.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$21.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 13:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.77$1.00
10-01 12:23US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.6$732.00
09-08 13:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.86$627.80
09-08 13:56Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?BUY0.21$210.00
09-07 10:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.48$857.27
09-04 21:47Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$892.99
09-02 20:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETSELL0.47$3.76
09-02 20:45Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.4$3.20
09-02 14:16Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.44$727.74
08-30 07:05Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?BUY0.93$27.90
08-29 13:26Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?BUY0.83$571.83
08-29 13:08Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETSELL0.94$9.40
08-28 10:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3048531873$343.51
08-25 20:54Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?BUY0.16$84.80
08-18 22:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.323$141.09