0x214Bd3D5F423bc8D60cf4Cf76e323e199367cd8b-1762690204442
0x214bd3d5f423bc8d60cf4cf76e323e199367cd8b
- Realised P&L
- $425.91
- Volume
- $26.7k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.85at 0.452Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$150.00at 0.630US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$118.90at 0.610US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$102.20at 0.860US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
- +$85.68at 0.836Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 13:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:23 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $732.00 |
| 09-08 13:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $627.80 |
| 09-08 13:56 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $210.00 |
| 09-07 10:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.48 | $857.27 |
| 09-04 21:47 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $892.99 |
| 09-02 20:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $3.76 |
| 09-02 20:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $3.20 |
| 09-02 14:16 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.44 | $727.74 |
| 08-30 07:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 08-29 13:26 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $571.83 |
| 08-29 13:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 08-28 10:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3048531873 | $343.51 |
| 08-25 20:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August? | BUY | 0.16 | $84.80 |
| 08-18 22:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.323 | $141.09 |