0x2149c37Af0466a000fd5C77357D7d2000f7f52Df-1773702012029
0x2149c37af0466a000fd5c77357d7d2000f7f52df
- Realised P&L
- $13.36
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $173.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$188.52at 0.223Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$156.58at 0.382Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$29.66at 0.168Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
- +$26.49at 0.072Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$18.46at 0.230Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:01 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.29 | $9.28 |
| 11-01 19:00 | Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority? | BUY | 0.0973475038 | $10.90 |
| 11-01 18:54 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0030479991 | $1.10 |
| 11-01 18:54 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0037382749 | $1.63 |
| 11-01 18:53 | Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.20 |
| 11-01 18:48 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.1159999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 15:25 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999935 | $4.00 |
| 10-29 15:18 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.33 | $66.00 |
| 10-28 14:24 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5299999722 | $7.25 |
| 10-28 12:53 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3139999948 | $7.00 |
| 10-28 12:52 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.686 | $5.53 |
| 10-28 12:52 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.5 | $8.59 |
| 10-28 00:31 | Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority? | BUY | 0.2 | $19.80 |
| 10-28 00:27 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.1250441403 | $11.05 |
| 10-28 00:26 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.988 | $24.05 |