ksp15
0x2148748688109ca8568d4d6f4685de8e1fa80599
- Realised P&L
- $6.4k
- Volume
- $653.0k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $13.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah vs. Colorado · Utah | 0.930 | 1.000 | $13.8k | +$962.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.5kat 0.650Rams vs. Bears
- +$6.7kat 0.680Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$6.3kat 0.820Rams vs. Panthers
- +$5.7kat 0.810Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-17?
- +$4.8kat 0.92249ers vs. Seahawks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-16 23:27 | Women's Semifinals - Canada vs. Switzerland | SELL | 0.999 | $20.2k |
| 02-16 22:27 | Women's Semifinals - Canada vs. Switzerland | SELL | 0.999 | $1000.00 |
| 02-16 19:07 | Women's Semifinals - Canada vs. Switzerland | BUY | 0.987 | $4.0k |
| 02-16 19:03 | Women's Semifinals - Canada vs. Switzerland | BUY | 0.9892850713 | $16.6k |
| 02-08 20:17 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.68 | $14.3k |
| 02-01 01:44 | Wild vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $1.6k |
| 01-31 21:35 | Spread: Hawks (-1.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $2.5k |
| 01-31 18:54 | Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $926.94 |
| 01-31 17:44 | Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $607.26 |
| 01-25 23:04 | USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 159.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $490.26 |
| 01-25 23:04 | USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 159.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $5.1k |
| 01-25 19:55 | Kings vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.84 | $2.1k |
| 01-25 19:55 | USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 159.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $1.0k |
| 01-25 19:50 | Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $1.3k |
| 01-25 19:50 | Patriots vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.66 | $1.6k |