0x213fbcff84e7af8a229d3ad64a6bca2e904ca078
0x213fbcff84e7af8a229d3ad64a6bca2e904ca078
- Realised P&L
- $58.72
- Volume
- $240.47
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $0.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar24.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GV CD San José win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.001 | $0.22 | −$60.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.16at 0.615Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?
- +$29.87at 0.417Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-29?
- +$17.18at 0.553Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?
- +$-21.49at 0.333Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:25 | Will GV CD San José win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.1386662837 | $60.35 |
| 10-29 23:15 | Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-29? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $20.00 |
| 10-29 17:05 | Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-29? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $20.00 |
| 10-29 17:05 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29? | BUY | 0.5199999927 | $20.00 |
| 10-28 18:47 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28? | BUY | 0.579999997 | $50.00 |