0x2139c54e71b9c98bf40a2789aebb3b6b3ed6d7b7
0x2139c54e71b9c98bf40a2789aebb3b6b3ed6d7b7
- Realised P&L
- $-6.33
- Volume
- $205.57
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $3.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? · Yes | 0.800 | 1.000 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.530 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.750 | 0.505 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.340 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.85at 0.349Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?
- +$2.61at 0.369Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $268 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$2.22at 0.400Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
- +$2.11at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$2.02at 0.430Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 08:22 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 21:29 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 14:11 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:50 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:09 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in September? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:59 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.49 |
| 09-23 23:59 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in September? | BUY | 0.4799999485 | $1.49 |
| 09-23 03:58 | Will Cracker Barrel say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5999999195 | $1.49 |
| 09-22 19:57 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999764 | $1.49 |
| 09-22 07:36 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $1.26 |
| 09-21 23:19 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.539999855 | $1.49 |
| 09-21 15:17 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999105 | $1.49 |
| 09-21 07:11 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999653 | $1.49 |
| 09-20 22:39 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.49 |