PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x213344be59e9cd97659589a1bf0f77621d9c7164

Realised P&L
$-49.17
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$37.42

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes0.3040.085$35.57$91.48
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0970.018$1.85$8.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-29 14:54Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?BUY0.3036038854$127.05
05-18 17:16Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.5$11.30
05-18 17:16Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?SELL0.4028904039$125.28
05-12 17:43Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?BUY0.2799999983$87.07
05-12 17:39US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.83$75.21
05-08 11:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.998$15.09
05-07 18:48US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.6$54.37
04-12 07:16Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.4399999823$9.95
04-08 15:16Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.7$10.59
04-08 15:15Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?SELL0.2221709634$8.19
04-08 15:14Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?SELL0.45$16.58
04-05 06:46Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?BUY0.2699999864$9.95
04-05 06:43Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.2699999864$9.95
04-04 09:02Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?BUY0.469999992$9.95
04-04 08:57Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?BUY0.0565778061$5.00