0x213344be59e9cd97659589a1bf0f77621d9c7164
- Realised P&L
- $-49.17
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $37.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.304 | 0.085 | $35.57 | −$91.48 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.018 | $1.85 | −$8.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.84at 0.600US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$15.56at 0.390Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?
- +$6.63at 0.270Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
- +$4.51at 0.700Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$1.30at 0.440Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-29 14:54 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.3036038854 | $127.05 |
| 05-18 17:16 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $11.30 |
| 05-18 17:16 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.4028904039 | $125.28 |
| 05-12 17:43 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999983 | $87.07 |
| 05-12 17:39 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $75.21 |
| 05-08 11:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.998 | $15.09 |
| 05-07 18:48 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $54.37 |
| 04-12 07:16 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999823 | $9.95 |
| 04-08 15:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.7 | $10.59 |
| 04-08 15:15 | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2221709634 | $8.19 |
| 04-08 15:14 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? | SELL | 0.45 | $16.58 |
| 04-05 06:46 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? | BUY | 0.2699999864 | $9.95 |
| 04-05 06:43 | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999864 | $9.95 |
| 04-04 09:02 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.469999992 | $9.95 |
| 04-04 08:57 | Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%? | BUY | 0.0565778061 | $5.00 |