PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Marcosinus

0x21303c6cebf12f1e4392cc113d06be34c728b64d

Realised P&L
$-6.2k
Volume
$89.2k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$593.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? · No0.8000.982$326.70+$60.41
NL: ZSC Lions vs. Davos · ZSC Lions0.5630.640$73.60+$8.80
NL: Geneve-Servette vs. Lugano · Geneve-Servette0.4590.510$54.58+$5.50
Will Portugal win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4? · Yes0.8100.964$48.20+$7.70
Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1? · Yes0.5580.840$42.00+$14.10
Will Germany win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2? · Yes0.3250.200$38.41−$23.96
Will Belgium win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1? · No0.6500.960$9.60+$3.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 05:24NL: ZSC Lions vs. DavosBUY0.56$2.80
10-18 05:24NL: Geneve-Servette vs. LuganoBUY0.46$10.81
10-18 05:23NL: ZSC Lions vs. DavosBUY0.5636363636$62.00
10-18 05:20NL: Geneve-Servette vs. LuganoBUY0.46$31.51
10-18 05:20NL: Geneve-Servette vs. LuganoBUY0.45$6.75
10-11 19:24Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?BUY0.8$266.29
10-01 20:38Will Germany win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?BUY0.3247924803$62.37
10-01 20:14Will Portugal win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4?BUY0.81$40.50
09-26 20:42Will Belgium win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?BUY0.65$6.50
09-26 20:41Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?BUY0.59$5.90
09-26 20:41Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?BUY0.55$22.00
09-26 13:27Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.9879172374$1.3k
06-14 10:15Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.96$83.01
06-14 10:15Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.96$43.63
06-14 10:15Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.96$239.99